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The company has been working back from that decision ever since. But 2016 was a turning point, with the company finally making some real headway on the debt front and in its efforts to get out from under oil assets it didn't want. This year should see a material deleveraging of the balance sheet if the company follows through on its promise to keep reducing its debtand if commodity markets cooperate. Now what? Where each company goes from here is decidedly biased by the events outlined above. For example, although Freeport's outlook is brighter than it has been in several years, it still has to deal with the debt hole it dug with the oil acquisition. At the end of the third quarter, long-term debt still accounted for around 80% of its capital structure. In fact, even if the company achieves its most aggressive debt reduction target in 2017, paring down debt to some $8.4 billion, debt will still make up around two-thirds of the capital structure. That's back-of-the-envelope math using uncertain forecasts, but if it's even in the ballpark, debt will still be high for a company reliant on often-volatile commodity prices. Compare that to Alcoa, where there's long-term demand underpinning its business as the world increasingly focuses on energy efficiency.

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